Strategic Thinking & Strategic Action

Fostering strategic thinking and strategic action by organizational leaders

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Often wrong but never in doubt

Often wrong but never in doubt Head and heart. Yin and yang. Logic and emotion. Left brain and right brain. Hard and soft. Tangible and intangible. Proven and unproven. Obvious and hidden. Seen and unseen. Recognized and ignored.Our vocabulary is replete...

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The instant of decision is madness

The instant of decision is madness Note: This post on undecidability and yet having to make a leap of faith and decide is part of a chapter, "The madness of not knowing," in my upcoming book, Big Decisions: Why we make decisions that matter so poorly. How...

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22 principles I have learned from being an athlete

22 principles I have learned from being an athlete This post is picked up from my other blog, Ironman, Marathon and more: It's a lifestyle. The life of a masters endurance athlete...who has a life. I am posting it here because it speaks to what I see as...

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Despite our growing ignorance, we must decide

Despite our growing ignorance, we must decide Note: This post on our inability to access the information we need to make big decisions is part of a chapter, "The madness of not knowing," in my upcoming book, Big Decisions: Why we make decisions that matter...

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Can “Big Data” deliver “the right decision”?

Can “Big Data” deliver “the right decision”? One idea for maximizing the gain we get from decisions is to use machines to help us make them or even have machines make the big decisions for us.But can an algorithm be perfected to always yield “the right...

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The worst accident: “We’re going!”

The Captain of KLM Flight 4805 had to be irritated. His plane, carrying 235 passengers and 14 crew members, had taken off from Amsterdam’s Schiphol Airport at 0900 hours (local time) en route to Gando Airport in Las Palmas, Canary Islands (part of Spain).[1] But six hours later, as the plane neared Las Palmas, the pilot, Jacob Van Zanten, was given bad news by the Gando Airport air traffic controller

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Trump trap: Epistemic arrogance

From the lens of social science and economics we can easily see that Donald Trump is a poster child for mental traps and biases that get in the way of strategic thinking and rational decision making. While Trump has made millions of dollars, attained celebrity status and won the U.S. presidency either in spite of or because of his decisions and behavior, we can make the case…

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Trump trap: Action-oriented bias

Trump trap: Action-oriented bias The first in series on mental traps and biases that lead Donald Trump – and us – astray A debate has raged among psychiatrists about whether it is ethically proper to diagnose Donald Trump without directly…

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Why not plan to be great, like Elon Musk?

Why not plan to be great, like Elon Musk? Elon Musk has just announced plans for SpaceX to build a huge reusable rocket (BFR) that he and his firm believe will enable a permanent self-sustaining human presence on Mars in five years. (Watch the...

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Thank you for our connection!

Thank you for our connection! Twenty five years ago, before social media, British anthropologist Robin Dunbar found a correlation between primate brain size and average social group size. He theorized that humans can only maintain about 150 current stable...

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